January 27, 2010

Who Is Stephen Curry?

In his short career, Stephen Curry has been compared to many players. People throw around the idea that he's the next Steve Nash so blithely that Google actually suggests Nash when you type in "stephen curry" followed by an S and a T; more sanely, he is often compared to his father. Around these parts, we've suggested a couple guys whose careers Curry's might resemble -- Mark Price (which would be great), Jason Terry (which would be okay). Will Curry end up resembling one of these guys, or someone else altogether, or nobody in particular? We just don't know. But what we do know is that young #30 is having himself a helluva January:

39.7 minutes, 19.7 points on 15.8 shots, 4.7 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 2.5 turnovers (1.83 A/TO), 1.9 steals, 3.7 fouls

For a moment, let's forget about all the hype and the daydreaming and the Nellie and Bobby Knight quotes. Let's just look at Stephen Curry's numbers in this, his breakout month. Which NBA player's numbers do they most resemble? Who is Stephen Curry playing like right now?

Probably this guy, who we'll call Player X:

37.1 minutes, 20.7 points on 16.5 shots, 4.7 rebounds, 4.9 assists, 2.9 turnovers (1.71 A/TO), 1.5 steals, 2.9 fouls

Curry's taken slightly better care of the ball and grabbed a few more steals; Player X, however, has done slightly more in slightly fewer minutes, and has committed fewer fouls. In most ways -- scoring efficiency, rebounding, passing frequency -- they're pretty damn close. So who is Player X?

Player X is Tyreke Evans. And while you can lament that, in his breakout month, Stephen Curry is playing like a guy who's universally considered to be something other than a point guard, you can also take comfort in the fact that Stephen Curry is playing like a guy who's universally considered to be pretty friggin' awesome. They go about their business very differently, but in January, Curry has bringing the same type of across-the-board production Evans has been bringing all season. If we don't have the Rookie of the Year, we've got a guy who's doing a pretty killer impression of him.

You're asking to get your heart broken if you see Steve Nash in any young player, let alone a guy who hasn't been one of the five best passers of his rookie class. Stephen Curry has not been passing like a young Steve Nash, or even a young Eric Maynor. But of late, he's been producing like a Tyreke Evans. And while I'd love it if the Warriors had an elite playmaker on their hands here, I'd sure as hell be happy with a 'Reke.

7 comments:

Unknown said...

Your comment on Curry not being a top five passer is incorrect. He would easily be averaging 8-9 assists per game if those around him could finish. Last night against the Kings was a perfect example. In the first quarter alone he missed out on 6 assists due to guys not finishing. He set up Biedrins, Mags, Tolliver, Turiaf, and Martin all beautifully in the first half with no assists to show for it.

Owen said...

This is a common defense of Curry's passing... I just don't see the case for it. Stephen Curry is not the only point guard who's denied assists because his teammates sometimes fail to finish; that happens to everybody. And while the Warriors are obviously a bad team, it's not true that they're terrible at *finishing*... we actually have a number of extremely skilled scorers, and other players on the team boast good passing numbers for their positions.

Also, while he was definitely robbed of a couple last night, it's easy to overstate how many. On the pick-and-roll where Maggette got blocked for example, that wasn't a case of Maggette denying Curry an assist... that was just a blown play, where the roller didn't end up open. Not every pass that connects near the basket is a perfect assist waiting to happen.

Curry is surely one of the most *creative* passers of his class... probably one of the best passers of his class in transition. But overall, the results aren't there. He just hasn't been a very good passer for a rookie point guard.

Unknown said...

I agree Curry is not the only point guard who is denied assists due to teammates failing to finish but it does happen more to Curry than the others. Mags is not a great example for you to use because he is looking to draw contact and get to the line. Biedrins, Tolliver, Turiaf, Vlad are terrible finishers. "we actually have a number of extremely skilled scorers" What? did your dvr break again last night?

Owen said...

Ha... no, the DVR came through last night, unfortunately. Last night was horrible, and Curry did get a raw deal (although he got lucky on a couple of near-turnovers, too).

But let's not pretend that the Warriors' worst-shooting game of the season is representative of their level of play. We're tied for ninth in the league in field goal percentage as a team; if you remove Curry's own scoring, leaving only his potential passing targets, we're tied for eighth. Corey Maggette has the highest FG% of any small forward (yes, even including last night), and scores more than half of his field goals off of assists. Andris Biedrins, who's still on pace for the highest field-goal percentage in NBA history, is shooting over 60% from the field primarily off of assists, as did Mikki before him. CJ and Morrow shoot well for their positions. And it's not like Baron had any trouble completing assists to Monta Ellis two years ago.

Tolliver, Turiaf and Vlad? They've stunk. But the three of them combined haven't played as many minutes as Maggette, and have barely played more minutes than Morrow. Let's not extrapolate from one game... this is not a team that makes it difficult to record assists.

Unknown said...

Good points. I actually laughed out loud at your first sentence. I still think Curry is a better passer than you give him credit for and know he will eventually average a double/double in the league. I also think he will put up several triple doubles in the near future.

Owen said...

I hope you're right... he does have a track record of exceeding expectations, and I'd be delighted if he exceeded mine. I'm just not sure how he'll start to beat his man consistently, in the way you need to to make plays in the halfcourt. Maybe he gets stronger, maybe he has a growth spurt, maybe he refines his handle in a way that lets him cut more quickly. But right now, his body isn't always able to complete the plays his eyes imagine.

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