February 17, 2010

Warriors SCORE Board, 2.17.10

Checking back in with our award-winning, universally beloved, literally perfect rating system...
















Three players are on the rise since last time out. Anthony Morrow's splendid production of late has him hot on Monta's heels; Turiaf is working his way up the rankings, and is now tied with his European Union brother; Tolliver's career night against the Clips has elevated him from the ranks of the other scrubs. On the flip side, Maggette's fall back to earth shows up in the numbers, Biedrins continues to fare horribly by Wins Produced (the Doolittle version) and plus-minus metrics, and Devean George's grumpy old man bit has lost what scant luster it once had.

Bottom line is, these Warriors are all over the map. The five metrics that combine (like VOLTRON) to comprise the SCORE system are only unanimously positive about Corey Maggette... every other player gets panned at least somewhere. WARP ain't feeling no Anthony Morrow; Wins Produced turns up its nose at Biedrins, Randolph and Azubuike; Win Shares wouldn't wipe its ass with Monta Ellis. There's a bizarre lack of consensus about the relative values of these guys, far less consensus than you'd find about the players on other teams.

There are two reasons for this. One is the Warriors' unusually flat talent curve; the gap between their best player and their ninth-best player is smaller than for any other team. The other is the bizarre usage patterns on display in Oakland, where several hyper-efficient scorers rarely touch the ball. These metrics all weigh the importance of usage rate differently, which accounts for a lot of the skew... Win Shares doesn't ding Morrow much for his low shooting frequency, but it drives WARP up the wall. It seems safe to say that this is not the SCORE Board of a properly functioning team. But next time around, maybe we'll examine another roster's performance to clarify that.

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